Principal Competitive CPU Performance Forecaster & Data Scientist
Job Description
AMD is hiring a data scientist and performance engineer to own the quantitative forecasting system for competitive server CPU performance.
Responsibilities
- Design and maintain a forecasting framework that connects CPU architecture, memory, I/O, power, operating-system and runtime behavior, and workload kernels.
- Generate forward-looking forecasts for performance, performance-per-watt, and price-performance using confidence ranges instead of single-point estimates.
- Build scenarios for uncertain competitor attributes such as frequency, core count, memory bandwidth, software maturity, launch timing, and platform power.
- Track prediction error by workload, competitor, forecast horizon, and model version.
- Decompose forecast errors and tune models as measured systems become available.
- Develop normalized competitive scorecards spanning workload performance, efficiency and TCO, memory and I/O, software ecosystem, deployability, and roadmap credibility.
- Fuse benchmark results, performance counters, partner telemetry, public roadmaps, software changes, and platform evidence while preserving source provenance.
- Identify leading indicators that materially change the forecast and surface early risk or opportunity signals.
- Partner with architecture and workload leads to run design experiments that reduce the highest-value uncertainties.
- Create executive-grade visualizations for deltas, confidence ranges, scenarios, drivers, and forecast-versus-actual history.
- Write quarterly forecast narratives and support rapid recalibration when new silicon or material evidence appears.
Requirements
- Demonstrated experience building quantitative models used for technical or business decisions under uncertainty.
- Strong programming and data-analysis skills in Python or an equivalent analytical environment.
- Expertise in defining meaningful error metrics, calibration methods, and sensitivity analyses for sparse or biased data.
- Working knowledge of server CPU and system performance, plus willingness to engage deeply with architectural causality.
- Experience building reproducible data pipelines, using versioning, and working with notebooks or scripts while maintaining source provenance.
- Strong visualization, writing, and presentation skills for technical and executive audiences.
- Sound judgment on when a model is useful, when it is overfit, and when evidence does not support a precise conclusion.
- Experience with CPU or GPU performance prediction, pre-silicon modeling, capacity planning, forecasting, or benchmark analytics.
- Experience with Bayesian modeling, Monte Carlo simulation, probabilistic programming, or uncertainty quantification.
- Experience combining structured benchmark data with semi-structured roadmap, software-change, or market evidence.
- Cross-ISA or cloud-instance price-performance analysis experience.
- Familiarity with platform economics, TCO, rack power, or density.
Technologies
- Python
- Bayesian modeling
- Monte Carlo simulation
- Probabilistic programming
- Uncertainty quantification
- Notebooks, scripts
Team
- The Competitive Advanced Performance (CAP) team is a new, visible capability focused on predicting, validating, and explaining competitive server CPU performance before products reach the market.
- Joining now means helping define the methods, tools, and operating model from the ground up.
Role Summary
- Own the quantitative forecasting system behind the CAP team, combining architecture assumptions, workload measurements, software trends, platform data, and partner validation.
- Produce forward-looking predictions with explicit confidence ranges, accountable forecast-versus-actual learning, and a competitive narrative covering likely leadership, risk areas, confidence, and variables that could change the outcome.
Academic Credentials
- Bachelor’s or Master’s in Electrical Engineer, Computer Engineering, Computer Science, or a closely related field
Location
- Texas (hybrid)
- Austin, Texas